Weak signals in organizational learning etc.

Aiemmin tässä blogissa julkaistut kirjoitukset, joissa käsitellään heikkoja signaaleja löytyvät tästä linkistä.

Elina Hiltunen on yksi maamme johtavia tulevaisuudentutkijoita. Hän väitteli kesäkuussa 2010 Helsingin kauppakorkeakoulusta.

Hiltunen, Elina. (2010).  Weak signals in organizational futures learning.  Acta Universitatis oeconomicae Helsingiensis, A, ISSN 1237-556X ; 365. A-365.
2010 Väitöspäivä: 2010-06-22
Aine: Organisaatiot ja johtaminen
Elektroninen väitöskirja: » lataa väitöskirja pdf-muodossa   [7528 KB]
Asiasanat: organisaatio; johtaminen; tulevaisuus; ennusteet; oppiminen; oppiva organisaatio; organization; management; future; forecasts; learning; organizational learning; weak signals
Kieli: eng
Bibid: 109994 | Saatavuustiedot (HELCAT)
ISBN: 978-952-60-1022-9
Tiivistelmä:
Thesis: Weak Signals in Organizational Futures Learning
M.Sc(eng.) Elina Hiltunen
Aalto University, Business School

Sormela. M.S. (2004).Capturing Weak Signals for Foresight Building. Lappeenrannan tekninen yliopisto.

"If we are going to detect these weak signals, we need to devise a strategy. Firstly, let us jot down some key points. We need to:
Do something to cut down the background noise
Be on the alert for the smoke screen that ‘Conventional Wisdom’ can throw up
Develop techniques to “see the emerging patterns” in the chaos which is information overload
Look for and expect the unexpected.
Adjust our attitude to seek success in the unusual and the marginalised ideas and opportunities"  

Source: Holger Nauheimer The Observatory for Weak Signals

"You can make a weak signal test, following the thinking of weak signals researcher and developer

of Futures Window method Elina Hiltunen (2007). According to her, something is a weak signal if

1) it makes your colleagues to laugh
2) your colleagues say: no way, it will never happen
3) it causes confusion
4) noone has heard about that before
5) your colleagues want the issue to be discussed no more.

If you get 1 to 5 “yes” answers from the test, you have found a weak signal. If you score for

all five, you have an excellent weak signal in your hands. If you want to know more about

this, see www.vtt.fi/tff and Hiltunen (2007)." Source: Toni Ahlqvist, Minna Halonen and Sirkka Heinonen. Espoo 2007. Weak Signals in Social Media Report on Two Workshop Experiments in Futures Monitoring. (PDF)

An entrepreneur seeks weak signals: what will be the future business!



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